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Supreme Court Decision Could Impact 2024 Election

 September 2, 2024

The U.S. Supreme Court recently blocked the enforcement of new Title IX regulations proposed by the Biden administration, sparking widespread discussion and debate. The ruling, which prevents the administration from implementing protections against discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity in 26 states, surprised many, including those closely watching the lead-up to the 2024 presidential election.

Newsweek reported that the court's decision is seen as a potential boost for Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign against former President Donald Trump.

The controversy began when the Supreme Court denied the Biden administration's request to partially lift a nationwide ban on enforcing updated Title IX education discrimination rules. These amendments, introduced earlier this year, aimed to expand protections against discrimination to include sexual orientation and gender identity, in addition to the existing provisions under Title IX, established in 1972 to prevent sex-based discrimination in federally funded education programs.

Supreme Court's Unexpected Ruling Draws Attention

Michael Popok characterized the denial of the Biden administration's request as a "surprise" August ruling during the Supreme Court's recess on the MeidasTouch podcast. The ruling directly impacts 26 states, halting the enforcement of the new Title IX regulations pending further litigation. This decision aligns with the arguments presented by Republican attorneys general from these states, who have challenged the Biden administration's amendments to the law.

The Supreme Court ruled 5-4, reasoning that the Biden administration had not provided sufficient justification to overturn the lower courts' interim decisions. These lower courts had previously determined that three provisions of the new rules were likely unlawful and could not be easily separated from the rest of the rule changes. As a result, the lawsuits against the new Title IX rules will continue to be fought in the lower appeals courts.

Implications for the 2024 Presidential Election

The timing and content of the ruling are significant, especially as the 2024 presidential election campaign heats up. Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, is poised to leverage this ruling as part of her platform, focusing on issues such as abortion rights and women's autonomy—topics likely to resonate with voters in light of the Supreme Court's conservative majority, which includes three justices appointed by former President Donald Trump.

"For Kamala Harris in the campaign, it is a gift," Popok commented, highlighting how this ruling could put issues related to women's rights and gender identity back in the spotlight.

He added that it provides Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, a chance to speak directly to voters concerned about these issues. "We see you, transgender people. We see you people that are concerned about their gender identity being discriminated against," he stated, emphasizing the campaign's inclusive message.

Reactions from the Department of Education

The Department of Education has expressed its disagreement with the Supreme Court's decision but remains steadfast in its commitment to defending the Title IX regulations released earlier this year. "While we do not agree with this ruling, the department stands by the final Title IX regulations released in April 2024," a spokesperson for the department told Newsweek. The department will continue advocating for these rules in the expedited litigation ongoing in the lower courts.

In the 24 states not affected by the injunction, schools must still comply with the 2024 Title IX regulations. "The schools that are not enjoined within the 24 states are obligated to comply with the final 2024 Title IX regulations," the spokesperson added, highlighting the department's ongoing efforts to ensure nondiscrimination in education across the country.

Future Impact on Supreme Court Nominations

This ruling's implications extend beyond the immediate legal battle over Title IX. The outcome of the November election could profoundly impact the future composition of the Supreme Court.

With a conservative majority currently in place and the potential for future appointments depending on the results of the 2024 election, this issue has become even more critical.

The court's conservative majority has been in the spotlight since it overturned Roe v. Wade in June 2022, a landmark ruling that guaranteed a constitutional right to abortion. This history further underscores the stakes of the upcoming election, where voters will have a chance to influence the direction of the court for years to come.

Ongoing Legal Battles and Political Maneuvering

The lower courts will continue hearing the lawsuits challenging the Biden administration's new Title IX rules, with both sides preparing for a prolonged legal battle.

The Department of Education is committed to defending the 2024 regulations, indicating that this issue is far from settled. Further legal challenges are likely as the case progresses through the courts.

As legal and political battles unfold, Vice President Kamala Harris and her campaign team are expected to use this issue to draw clear contrasts between their platform and that of Donald Trump and the Republican Party.

Harris aims to rally support from key demographic groups, including women, LGBTQ+ individuals, and others concerned about civil rights and equality by focusing on issues of discrimination and women's rights.

The Supreme Court's decision has undoubtedly added a new layer of complexity to the 2024 election landscape. With legal challenges ongoing and political campaigns in full swing, both legal experts and the public will closely watch the outcome of this case and its broader implications.