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Democratic Polling Leak Signals Potential Setback for Biden

 July 6, 2024

A recently leaked memo from Open Labs has exposed troubling trends for President Joe Biden among voters post-debate.

The leaked polling results indicate a sharp decline in support for Biden, hinting at challenges ahead in his campaign, Blaze Media reported.

Open Labs conducted a poll over 72 hours following President Biden's latest debate performance. The results unexpectedly showed a significant shift in voter sentiment. Forty percent of Biden's 2020 voters now believe he should not continue his campaign, primarily highlighting this change.

Shift in Voter Sentiment Since the Debate

Just two months earlier, only a quarter of those same voters felt Biden should step aside, while over half supported his continued candidacy. This recent debate dramatically impacted public opinion, causing this change.

Swing voters particularly showed a pronounced decline in support, with a majority now expressing that Biden should end his campaign, a stark contrast to earlier sentiments.

Biden'sBiden's Electoral Challenges in Key States

The Biden campaign finds the polling figures in critical Electoral College states alarming. The data shows that President Biden is trailing former President Donald Trump in crucial states such as Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and several others needed for an upcoming election victory.

Even in states like Colorado and Maine, where Biden previously held leads, his advantage has narrowed to within a 2% margin, effectively putting these states up for grabs.

Historical Lows in Voter Approval

The memo included a line graph illustrating a significant drop in Biden's favorability ratings, which sank to an all-time low of 27% last week. This decline in popularity follows similar trends observed during the Afghanistan withdrawal and the classified documents case.

Open Labs states, "We saw similar magnitude drops in tracking during the Afghanistan withdrawal and classified documents case, but this is the lowest this metric has been since tracking began in 2021."

Concerns Over Biden's Age and Campaign Viability

Growing concerns about the president's age underpin the decline in support, becoming more pronounced among the electorate. This concern has contributed to a growing divide within the Democratic Party about the future of Biden's candidacy.

The memo detailed, "An increase in already-high concerns about the president's age and a growing split among Democrats about what should happen with his candidacy underpin the decline."

Speculations on the Memo's Release and Its Impacts

Some analysts and online commentators have speculated that strategic use of the memo's leak could influence voter perceptions or campaign strategies, possibly encouraging Republican complacency.

Peter Hamby of Puck noted, "The most worrisome angle to all this is that Trump is now within striking distance in various states that weren't considered campaign battlegrounds last week."

Conclusion: A Comprehensive Look at Biden'sBiden's Polling Woes

In conclusion, the leaked memo from Open Labs paints a grim picture for President Biden's reelection campaign, revealing a significant downturn in support post-debate, increased voter concerns about his age, and a challenging path ahead in crucial battleground states.

Whether these trends will hold until the election remains to be seen, but they certainly set the stage for a heated electoral battle.