CNN data analyst Harry Enten recently revealed polling numbers suggesting that Donald Trump could have a strong chance to win Tuesday's election, citing historic trends and voter sentiment.

Enten's CNN analysis suggests that low approval ratings for the current administration and a negative outlook on the country's current direction may signal trouble for the incumbent party, as Townhall.com reports.

His insights come amid a broader examination of historical voting patterns and recent polling figures, which could hint at a favorable outcome for Trump.

During an appearance on CNN News Central, Enten shared his observation that only 28% of voters think the nation is on the right course.

He noted that when such numbers are low, the incumbent party historically struggles to win the election. Enten emphasized that this figure is significantly below the 42% average, which typically bodes well for an incumbent.

Vice President's Interview Performance Discussed

Notably, these statistics mirror other elections where the incumbent party had a low probability of succeeding. Enten pointed to previous presidential races, mentioning the scenarios of George W. Bush in 2008, Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968, and Harry S. Truman in 1952, where such trends were evident. This low approval rating could mean Vice President Kamala Harris might face a difficult path if she were to succeed President Biden.

Enten also highlighted Harris's recent press interviews, commenting that her awkward responses could further complicate her campaign.

He mentioned that President Joe Biden's approval ratings are significantly underwater -- by approximately 15 points, which could negatively impact Harris's chances.

Further supporting the analyst's view, a recent survey indicated that only 21% of respondents think the country is moving in the right direction. Such sentiments echo previous losses for the incumbent party in history.

Comparative Analysis in Relation to Historical Outcomes

Enten emphasized, "Joe Biden isn’t on the ballot," pointing out how Biden's low approval remains fresh in voters' minds despite not being a candidate himself. This sentiment reinforces the challenge for any Democratic successor.

CNN’s Enten elaborated on historical data, explaining that Republicans are registering new voters and achieving successful early voting results in pivotal states such as Nevada. This trend could provide Trump with momentum in critical swing states known to determine the election outcome.

The polling data is consistent with other surveys from the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times/Siena College, both suggesting Trump could potentially win both the Electoral College and popular votes. These insights add another layer to Enten's forecast.

Racing Toward an Extremely Close Election

While Enten painted a mostly challenging picture for Harris, he also discussed parts of her campaign that could work positively. He addressed Harris's net favorability scores, sometimes leading over Trump. Host Kate Bolduan pointed out past trends where Democrats performed better than predicted in polling, a sentiment Enten partially agreed with.

Enten remarked on the historical trend of the more popular candidate emerging victorious, with Trump's 2016 victory over Hillary Clinton being a noted exception. The race, he described, remains unprecedentedly tight.

“The polls are ridiculously close,” according to Enten, who added that such close contention and unexpected results have been witnessed in prior contests.

In his analysis, surprises similar to the 2022 midterms, where Democrats surpassed expectations despite poor approval figures, could arise.

As the election is just days away, voters and analysts alike are observing this fiercely competitive race closely. Enten concluded by emphasizing the predictive clarity of current indicators, suggesting, "You can't say you weren't warned."

In summary, Enten's comprehensive analysis of historical trends, current polling data, and prevailing voter sentiment offers a unique perspective on the upcoming election and the potential paths for key candidates.