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Poll Shows Trump Nearly Tied with Harris in VA

 August 21, 2024

A recent poll from Virginia has revealed that former President Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, is now within the margin of error against Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee.

The Virginia poll results have raised concerns within the Democratic Party, as Harris was expected to perform significantly better than Biden, who had led Trump by a comfortable margin in the Commonwealth in the past, as Breitbart reports.

The Roanoke poll, which is not known for favoring conservative candidates, shows a tight race between Trump and Harris.

This is a stark contrast to the 2020 election, in which Biden won Virginia by 9.4 points, a margin predicted by a similar poll showing Biden leading by 11 points. The shift in voter sentiment comes after the Democrats' decision to replace Biden with Harris, a move that has drawn mixed reactions from the electorate.

Harris Faces Criticism Over Policy and Politics

According to the poll, 51% of respondents believe that Trump poses a threat to democracy, while 47% view the process of replacing Biden with Harris as a similar threat. This indicates a divided electorate, with concerns about the integrity of the political process on both sides.

Furthermore, the poll highlights the challenges Harris faces in gaining widespread support. While 29% of voters think that criticisms of Harris are based on her race and gender, a significant portion -- 35% -- believes these criticisms are rooted in policy differences. Another 35% attribute the criticism to pure politics, underscoring the complex landscape Harris must navigate.

The poll also reveals that 56% of likely voters believe Trump is strong enough to handle adversaries like Russian President Vladimir Putin, whereas only 49% feel the same about Harris. This perception could influence voter confidence in Harris’s ability to lead on the global stage, a key factor in presidential elections.

Trump's Favorability Surpasses Expectations

Despite the controversies surrounding Trump, his favorability rating in Virginia remains resilient. The poll shows Trump with a 40% favorable rating compared to Harris’s 43%.

However, both candidates have high unfavorable ratings, with Trump at 57% and Harris at 53%. These figures suggest that while neither candidate is overwhelmingly popular, Trump has maintained a stronger position than many anticipated.

Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, a Republican, enjoys a relatively high job approval rating of 59%, with a favorability rating of 54%. This could indicate a favorable environment for Trump in Virginia, a state that has traditionally leaned Democratic in recent elections.

Meanwhile, incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Tim Kaine leads his Republican challenger, Hung Cao, by 11 points, showing that while Democrats maintain some strength in the state, the presidential race is far from decided.

Voter Enthusiasm for Vice-Presidential Picks Is Low

The poll also reflects a lack of enthusiasm for the vice-presidential candidates. Among likely voters, 44% expressed dissatisfaction or anger with the choice of Tim Walz as Harris’s running mate (30% dissatisfied; 14% angry) and J.D. Vance as Trump’s running mate (32% dissatisfied; 18% angry). This sentiment could impact voter turnout and enthusiasm, critical factors in close elections.

The mid-July poll conducted by the New York Times/Siena College had shown Harris leading Trump by five points, but the latest numbers from Virginia suggest a tightening race.

Polls indicate that Democrats should be worried, as Harris has not yet pulled away from Trump as expected, even with substantial support and media backing.

Conclusion: Polls Show Tight Race in Virginia

The latest poll from Virginia paints a picture of a closely contested race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.

Despite early expectations that Trump would struggle in the state, he has closed the gap, posing a significant challenge to Harris.

The poll also highlights the complexities and challenges Harris faces, with mixed perceptions of her leadership abilities and the process that led to her nomination.

With voter enthusiasm for the vice-presidential picks low and both candidates facing high unfavorable ratings, the race in Virginia remains uncertain, setting the stage for a potentially dramatic election outcome.