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RFK Jr. Expected to Fall Short of CNN Debate Threshold

 June 20, 2024

Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is unlikely to meet the strict requirements set by CNN to participate in next week's debate with former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden.

Kennedy is projected to fall short of CNN’s stringent ballot access rule requiring candidates to reach the 270 electoral vote threshold by Thursday's deadline.

Kennedy Fails to Meet Debate Requirements

The debate, scheduled for June 27 in Atlanta, Georgia, has a crucial requirement set by CNN. Candidates must "appear on a sufficient number of state ballots to reach the 270 electoral vote threshold," a stipulation announced by CNN on May 16.

Currently, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is certified for the ballot in only five states, as reported by The Washington Post. Despite claims from his campaign of completed petitioning in approximately two dozen states, the certification process in some states has not been finalized.

As a result, Kennedy is unlikely to meet the threshold needed to join Donald Trump and Joe Biden on the debate stage.

Challenges In Ballot Certification

The Kennedy campaign has been working for several months to gather the necessary signatures for ballot access. These signatures need verification by state election officials, which is an additional hurdle.

Kathleen McGrath, a spokesperson for the New York Board of Elections, told the Washington Post that the certification process in New York is "premature" and is expected to conclude in late summer.

This delay in certification means Kennedy's presence on the ballot in key states remains uncertain, further hindering his ability to meet CNN's debate threshold.

State Ballot Access Statistics

As of May 16, Kennedy's campaign had completed petitioning in 14 states. According to CNN's criteria, this was not sufficient to meet their debate participation criteria.

Currently, CNN recognizes Kennedy as the presumptive minor party nominee in states such as California and Hawaii. However, this recognition alone does not guarantee debate participation.

Trump and Biden, as presumptive nominees of their respective parties, easily meet the ballot access requirement set by CNN.

Campaign Efforts and Setbacks

The Kennedy campaign has invested significant resources and time into gathering the required signatures to appear on ballots as an independent candidate. This extensive petitioning effort aims to meet the thresholds set by various states for electoral votes.

Despite the campaign's claims of completed petitioning, the official certification from state election offices is still pending in several critical states. This lag in certification has created a significant obstacle for Kennedy's participation in the upcoming debate.

Moreover, CNN's requirement that candidates must appear on enough state ballots to secure 270 electoral votes has proven to be a stringent barrier for independent candidates like Kennedy.

Trump's Stance on Debate Participation

Former President Donald Trump has publicly stated that he would welcome Kennedy to join the debate stage. This statement highlights the unique dynamic of the 2024 presidential race, which features both traditional party candidates and independent contenders.

Nevertheless, without meeting CNN's designated criteria, Kennedy will likely not have the opportunity to debate his rivals in Atlanta.

In summary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s current ballot status prevents him from joining the upcoming presidential debate with Donald Trump and Joe Biden. The campaign's efforts to secure ballot access in numerous states have not yet resulted in sufficient certification, leaving Kennedy short of the required 270 electoral vote threshold set by CNN.

Conclusion

Independent Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is unlikely to meet the requirements to participate in next week's debate with former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden. Despite extensive efforts in petitioning for ballot access, Kennedy's campaign has not secured enough verified certifications.

CNN's strict requirement necessitates that candidates appear on enough state ballots to secure 270 electoral votes. While campaign efforts continue, delays in certification, such as in New York, hinder Kennedy's ability to meet this benchmark.