A new series of polls has shown that former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in Nevada, while the race remains closely contested in Minnesota and New Mexico. The polls indicate a competitive political landscape as both candidates vie for support in these key battleground states.

The Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker poll, conducted from Sept. 19-22, 2024, indicates that Trump has a slim lead in Nevada, with 49% of likely voters supporting him compared to Harris’s 48%, as Breitbart reports.

This narrow margin reflects the state's closely divided electorate, with both candidates competing intensely for votes.

In Minnesota, Harris holds a slight advantage, with 49% support compared to Trump’s 46%, according to the same polling data. Minnesota, traditionally a Democratic stronghold, appears to be more competitive than in previous elections, signaling that the race could still shift in either direction.

New Mexico Shows a Small Lead for Harris

In New Mexico, Harris leads Trump by a wider margin, with 50% of likely voters supporting her, while 44% back Trump. New Mexico has leaned Democratic in recent elections, but the results indicate that Trump remains within striking distance.

The Nevada poll surveyed 738 likely voters, while the Minnesota poll surveyed 993 likely voters, and the New Mexico poll gathered responses from 708 likely voters. These sample sizes give insight into voter preferences in these three important states.

The close race in Nevada aligns with a recent Noble Predictive Insights poll, which showed both Trump and Harris tied at 47% among likely voters in the state. This continued neck-and-neck polling demonstrates how critical Nevada could be in determining the outcome of the 2024 election.

Split Opinions in Minnesota Over Governor Walz

The poll data for Minnesota also revealed an interesting split in voter opinions regarding Democrat Gov. Tim Walz. According to the KARE 11/MPR News/Minnesota Star Tribune poll, 48% of Minnesota voters view Walz favorably, while 47% view him unfavorably. This divide highlights the contentious political atmosphere in the state, where Harris’s lead over Trump is slimmer than in previous elections.

In another survey, Harris received 48% while Trump garnered 43%, indicating a decrease in her support. This slight drop in Harris's backing suggests a potential vulnerability in a state that Democrats have historically relied on.

Harris's Support Slips in Key States

Despite holding a lead in Minnesota and New Mexico, Harris's position in these states is less solid than expected, especially as Trump narrows the gap in both.

Her slipping support in Minnesota, as indicated by recent polling, is particularly noteworthy, given the state's importance in the electoral map.

Trump's ability to remain within a few points of Harris in these states, especially in Nevada and Minnesota, speaks to the competitiveness of the race. The polls highlight the significance of voter turnout and the potential for further shifts as the election draws closer.

Competitive Landscape Shapes 2024 Race

With just a few percentage points separating the two candidates in these pivotal states, both campaigns are likely to focus heavily on outreach efforts in Nevada, Minnesota, and New Mexico.

These states could prove decisive in the final outcome, especially if the race remains as close as current polling suggests.

As the election season progresses, it will be essential for both Harris and Trump to maintain momentum in these battlegrounds. Harris’s narrow lead in Minnesota and New Mexico, combined with Trump’s advantage in Nevada, could set the stage for a highly competitive race that will likely come down to the wire.

Conclusion

The latest polling data from Nevada, Minnesota, and New Mexico reflect a tightly contested race between Trump and Harris, with each candidate leading in different states.

Trump's slight lead in Nevada and his narrowing margins in Minnesota and New Mexico highlight the competitive nature of the 2024 election. As the race continues to evolve, both campaigns will need to focus on critical battleground states to secure victory.

The shifting dynamics, particularly Harris's slipping support in Minnesota, underscore the importance of voter turnout and engagement in determining the final outcome.