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Trump Tops Newsom, Harris in Latest Hypothetical Presidential Poll

 July 6, 2024

Former President Donald Trump holds a lead over California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Vice President Kamala Harris in recent hypothetical presidential matchup polls.

The Ipsos/Reuters survey indicates that Trump is ahead in hypothetical matchups against several potential Democratic candidates who are rumored to be under consideration to replace Biden on the ticket, as Breitbart reports.

Among these matchups, Trump leads Harris by a narrow margin of 43% to 42%, and Newsom by 42% to 39%. He also holds an edge over Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, and Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker.

Biden Faces Internal Party Pressure

President Biden is facing pressure from his party due to concerns about his debate performances. Despite this, he has firmly stated that he will not step down from the race.

Biden and Harris recently delivered a motivational speech to their campaign staff, underscoring their commitment to the re-election campaign.

In a recent emergency meeting with Democratic governors, Biden secured their support.

These governors later publicly expressed their backing for the president's bid for a second term. This show of solidarity comes at a time when 32% of Democrats, according to polls, want Biden to be replaced as the party's nominee.

Trump and Biden in Tight Race

The Ipsos/Reuters survey also shows Trump and Biden tied in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup. This tie underscores the competitive nature of the upcoming election, with both candidates having strong bases of support.

Trump's lead extends beyond Harris and Newsom.

The survey shows him ahead of Whitmer by 41% to 36%, Beshear by 40% to 36%, and Pritzker by 40% to 34%. These figures suggest that Trump has a significant edge over several potential Democratic challengers.

Michelle Obama Remains Out of the Race

One notable figure in the Democratic Party, former first lady Michelle Obama, is the only hypothetical candidate leading Trump. However, she has made it clear that she has no interest in running for president.

"As former First Lady Michelle Obama has expressed several times over the years, she will not be running for president,” said Crystal Carson, director of communications for her office, in March.

“Mrs. Obama supports President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris’ re-election campaign,” the statement added.

HarrisX/Forbes Poll Shows Trump's Lead Over Harris

Another recent poll, conducted by HarrisX/Forbes, indicates that Trump leads Harris by seven points in a head-to-head matchup.

This lead is slightly reduced to five points when third-party candidates are included, but it still demonstrates a clear advantage for Trump.

Biden's Commitment Amid Challenges

Despite the challenges and internal party pressure, Biden remains steadfast in his commitment to the race. His recent efforts to rally support from Democratic governors and campaign staff highlight his determination to secure a second term.

In conclusion, the latest Ipsos/Reuters survey presents a challenging landscape for Democratic candidates, with Trump leading over several potential challengers.

Despite concerns within his party, President Biden has reaffirmed his commitment to the race, securing support from key Democratic figures. The upcoming election promises to be highly competitive, with both Trump and Biden showing strong bases of support.