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Possible Scenarios Emerge for Rubio's Senate Seat if He Becomes Secretary of State

 November 13, 2024

In a stunning political development, President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly poised to nominate Sen. Marco Rubio as the next secretary of State.

This potential appointment would set off a chain of events in Florida, in which Gov. Ron DeSantis will name a replacement to serve in Rubio’s U.S. Senate seat, which will be contested in a 2026 special election, as Fox News reports.

Rubio, who successfully secured re-election in 2022, would be forced to step away from his responsibilities in the Senate should he assume the new and prominent role.

His expected appointment to the new administration has ignited speculation about who will take over his Senate seat, and under Florida law, it falls on Gov. Ron DeSantis to appoint a temporary replacement.

Governors' Decision Could Impact Florida

The appointed individual will serve until the 2026 special election determines who will see out the remainder of Rubio’s term until 2028. This decision gives DeSantis a significant opportunity and responsibility, as noted by Rob Bluey of The Daily Signal -- to "shape Florida’s future."

Several influential figures are considered top candidates to step into Rubio's shoes. Among these are Florida Attorney General Ashley Moody, a long-time member of the state's Republican leadership since 2019, and U.S. District Judge Roy Altman, who is noted for his legal expertise and immigrant background.

Ashley Moody's background in law and recent legal achievements make her a noteworthy contender. From a legal perspective, Roy Altman also attracts attention, particularly given his appointment by Trump and his Venezuelan roots.

Highlighting Potential Candidates

James Uthmeier, the serving chief of staff for DeSantis, brings significant political management experience. According to some Republican circles, he is a potential candidate who could seamlessly transition into the legislative branch.

Another intriguing prospect cited within Republican discussions is Lara Trump, who has served as co-chair of the Republican National Committee. Sen. Katie Britt of Alabama captured the essence of this possibility by expressing her belief that Lara Trump could be a formidable advocate for Floridians in the upper chamber.

DeSantis may even consider himself or his wife for the coveted position. This self-appointment could position him for future political maneuvers at both the state and national levels.

Balancing Potential Candidates' Strengths

Former Florida House Speaker Jose Oliva, as well as current Lt. Gov. Jeanette Nuñez, are also on the list of potential appointees. Each candidate offers unique skills and backgrounds which align with Florida’s current and future political interests.

Oliva, in particular, has demonstrated leadership within the state's legislative framework. His recent appointment to the Florida Board of Governors highlights his ongoing influence in state governance.

Nuñez, the first Hispanic woman to hold the lieutenant governor position in Florida, could bring a different dimension to the position, especially given her close working relationship with DeSantis since 2018.

A Critical Juncture in Florida Politics

Florida’s political landscape could shift dramatically with any of these appointments. Rob Bluey emphasizes that whoever steps into the Senate will follow in the capable footsteps left by Rubio, who has been a notable presence in Washington.

The decision on who will occupy Rubio’s seat temporarily will have extended ramifications, potentially affecting Florida's political map leading up to 2028.

Speculative discussions among political analysts and party strategists emphasize the incredible opportunity DeSantis has to influence not only his own career trajectory but also the powers of representation for Floridians.

Preparing for 2026 Special Election

The upcoming special election in 2026 will no doubt draw significant attention and resources as it will decide who completes the final two years of Rubio’s term.

Whomever Gov. DeSantis appoints will need to quickly establish themselves in the national political arena to maintain the momentum until the special election. Their ability to navigate complex legislative issues will be critical in this interim period.

Concluding Thoughts on Political Dynamics

As events continue to unfold, the choice of Rubio’s successor promises to be pivotal for both the state of Florida and the Republican Party nationally.

One thing is clear: the political ripple effect from this appointment will be felt throughout the Sunshine State well into the next presidential election cycle. Each potential candidate stands poised to bring different qualities, and the ultimate choice will reflect the governor's vision for Florida’s role in national politics going forward.