DON'T WAIT.

We publish the objective news, period. If you want the facts, then sign up below and join our movement for objective news:

TOP STORIES

Latest News

New Hampshire Tightens: Trump Close on Harris's Heels in Granite State

 November 1, 2024

As the race for the presidency intensifies, New Hampshire has now emerged as a hotly contested battleground state.

Recently, the Granite State changed from what appeared to be solid support for Vice President Kamala Harris to falling into the undecided category, with former President Donald Trump significantly closing the gap in recent polls, as Breitbart reports.

This shift became evident when RealClearPolitics revised its guidance this past Thursday, marking New Hampshire as a tossup for the upcoming election.

The adjustment comes as Trump strengthens his presence in the state, which was initially anticipated to vote in favor of Harris.

Trump Gains Ground in Latest Poll

The latest findings from the New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica suggest Trump has a slight edge over Harris, showing him with 50.2% compared to Harris's 49.8%.

This marginal difference highlights the competitive nature of the race in New Hampshire as both candidates vie for support.

Despite this narrow lead in the recent poll, various polling averages continue to show Harris maintaining a very slight overall lead in the state.

An analysis from FiveThirtyEight indicates that Harris is ahead by 5.1 points, although this represents a decline from a higher 7-point advantage she held at the start of October.

Nate Silver’s tracker echoes this sentiment, with Harris holding a 5.2-point lead. This, however, illustrates a 2.2-point gain for Trump in New Hampshire over the past month, indicating momentum may be shifting in his favor.

Steady Shift in Voter Preferences

New Hampshire's alignment has been a reliable indicator of the national political atmosphere, making these developments noteworthy. Historically, Harris has maintained a lead in New Hampshire polls since her nomination. However, the recent poll by New Hampshire Journal/Praecones Analytica marks a notable deviation.

The Dartmouth Poll, conducted over the first half of October, showed Harris with a substantial edge, leading Trump by 20.8 percentage points (58.5% to 37.7%). This stark contrast with more recent polls illustrates how rapidly electoral dynamics can evolve as Election Day nears.

Indeed, current data suggests that polling across seven critical swing states remains tight, foreshadowing a potentially narrow margin even as only five days separate voters from casting their ballots.

Campaigns Intensify in New Hampshire

As election day looms, both campaigns are amplifying their efforts in New Hampshire, an unexpected focal point in this electoral cycle. Staffing and resources are being directed into the state as its significance becomes more apparent.

Harris’s campaign has allegedly been boosting expenditures in New Hampshire, seeking to reinforce her previous stronghold and recapture any lost ground. In contrast, Trump's campaign seems encouraged by the signs of increasing Republican influence.

Trump national campaign spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt weighed in, suggesting, "There’s a reason Kamala Harris has been spending money in New Hampshire." She critiques Harris’s intensified campaign presence, stating that "she’s on defense and knows President Trump is on the path to victory."

Implications for Broader Electoral Landscape

The evolving situation in New Hampshire could resonate beyond its borders, reflecting broader national trends. This recent development underscores why both parties might reassess their strategies in adjacent states.

With polls so closely divided, the allocation of campaign attention and resources might significantly impact the final outcome on election night. The heightened attention paid to New Hampshire is a tactical move, especially crucial in contesting the larger spectrum of swing states.

Ultimately, the outcome in New Hampshire might serve as a precursor to results seen across the pivotal swing states that frequently decide the election outcome. Candidates seek to hold tight to any advantage offered by improved polling, making every vote in New Hampshire a potential tipping point.