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Michelle Obama's Potential 2024 Election Against Trump: Poll Insights

 July 2, 2024

Former President Donald Trump leads former First Lady Michelle Obama in hypothetical 2024 election polls, highlighting concerns over President Joe Biden's age and performance, Newsweek reported.

Despite speculation about Michelle Obama's candidacy, she and her team have repeatedly stated she will not run for president.

Trump's Lead in Hypothetical Matchup

Former President Donald Trump would beat former First Lady Michelle Obama in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, according to a poll conducted earlier this year. This scenario comes amid growing concerns about President Joe Biden's ability to serve a second term due to his age and recent performance.

President Joe Biden's debate performance against Trump on June 27 raised concerns about his age (81) and ability to serve a second term. Following the debate calls for Biden to step aside as the Democratic nominee to prevent Trump from winning back the White House intensified.

Biden's Campaign Response to Calls for Withdrawal

Seth Schuster, a Biden campaign spokesperson, stated Biden would not drop out of the race. "Biden was 'not dropping out,'" Schuster affirmed, addressing the growing speculation and pressure from within the Democratic Party.

As the debate over Biden's candidacy continues, potential Democratic contenders have been mentioned. These include Vice President Kamala Harris, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Despite this speculation, the odds of Michelle Obama replacing Biden as the Democratic nominee have increased.

Polling Data and Michelle Obama's Prospects

A March poll by DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners showed Michelle Obama receiving 44% of the vote against Trump's 47%. Another poll conducted in March indicated that Michelle Obama was trailing Trump by seven points, with Trump receiving 50% of the vote compared to Obama's 43%.

Despite these polling results, Michelle Obama's office has consistently dismissed speculation about her 2024 candidacy. Crystal Carson, Obama's director of communications, reiterated that Michelle Obama supports Biden and Harris' reelection campaign. Carson stated, "As former First Lady Michelle Obama has expressed several times over the years, she will not be running for president. Mrs. Obama supports President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris' reelection campaign."

Analysis of Democratic Contenders' Polling Performance

A post-debate poll found that none of the top Democratic contenders would perform better than Biden against Trump. This has led to further discussions about the viability of Biden's candidacy and the potential for other Democratic leaders to step forward.

Thomas Gift, a political science professor, stated the idea of Michelle Obama as the nominee is unlikely and polling suggests 2024 is a referendum on Trump. "The idea of Michelle Obama as the Democratic nominee is a progressive fantasy...the chances of it being Obama are slim and none," Gift commented, emphasizing the improbability of her candidacy.

Trump's Reaction to Polling Data

During a campaign event, Trump criticized Michelle Obama's polling performance, asserting that Biden polls better than any other Democrats mentioned. "They polled everybody. They polled Michelle Obama, she polled very badly. No, she polls terribly," Trump declared, dismissing the notion of her as a strong contender.

The discussions around the potential candidates for the 2024 election continue to evolve as new polling data and political analyses emerge. While speculation about Michelle Obama's candidacy persists, her team remains firm in their statements against her running for president.

In conclusion, the hypothetical matchup between Donald Trump and Michelle Obama in the 2024 election reveals a competitive and uncertain political landscape. Despite concerns about President Joe Biden's age and performance, his campaign maintains that he will not drop out of the race. Potential Democratic contenders are being discussed, but the possibility of Michelle Obama running for president remains highly unlikely according to her team and political analysts. As the election approaches, the focus remains on the evolving dynamics within both parties and the potential outcomes of the 2024 race.

Summary of Key Points:

  • Donald Trump leads Michelle Obama in hypothetical 2024 election polls.
  • Concerns over President Joe Biden's age and performance have been raised.
  • Biden's campaign states he will not drop out of the race.
  • Potential Democratic contenders include Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, and Gretchen Whitmer.
  • Polls show Michelle Obama trailing Trump, but her team dismisses candidacy speculation.
  • Analysts consider a Michelle Obama nomination unlikely.